泓湖投资梁文涛：港股市场的结构以顺周期的为主，恒生国企指数走势和中国国债收益率的相关性非常高

小陈塔 2024-07-07 18:19:15 3197

9月23日，由新浪财经主办，证券日报作为战略合作媒体，合力打造的2022新浪财经海外投资峰会盛大开幕，本次论坛有幸邀请到纳斯达克、新交所、香港贸发局等机构的代表致辞，并邀请了包括沈明高、肖耿、韩竹、陶冬、姚远、张忆东、梁文涛、黄亮等海内外知名学者、经济学家等共聚于此，眼观全球局势，紧扣市场脉搏，探讨大湾区机遇，碰撞智慧火花，为投资者奉上了一场财富盛宴。

泓湖投资总经理兼投资总监梁文涛发表主旨演讲《港股的转机来自于中美利差的反转》。

梁文涛表示，中美十年期国债利差，今年呈现非常明显的下行趋势，下到了十多年来的低位，中美利差的变化构成了中国海外资产最主要的驱动因素。

因为港股市场的结构以顺周期的为主，这些品种和经济增长的相关性非常高，对应地来看，从宏观上我们就可以看到，其实恒生国企指数的走势和中国国债收益率的相关性是非常高的。由于中国国债收益率是对于中国宏观经济增长的一个非常敏感的同步指标，它的下行，对应着体现在股票市场上，我们就会看到恒生国企指数对应出现了明显的下行。

{dede:tag getall='0'}{/dede:tag}

藏格矿业：预计一季度净利同比增长208%-228%

国资委批复行业协会转型申请中钢协成为首个试点

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